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Priority Indicator
#23: Overall Arrest Rate
Total
Overall Arrest Rate
Contents: Background
Information | Data Tables | Data
Charts | Commentary |
Download Data
New: Overall
Arrest Rate Data Map (Internet Explorer Users:
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Background
Information
What
Does This Indicator Mean?
The overall
arrest rate is calculated as the number of arrests in a given place
divided by the total population of that place, multiplied by 1,000.
A higher rate of arrests often indicates that there is broader social
dysfunction in the community, including high rates of alcohol and drug use and declining economic indicators.
Arrests are reported by the police department or
sheriff’s office making the arrest, and not by the residence
address of the arrestee, and so these rates will vary greatly as a result
of political decisions within a region. Further, the jurisdictions of law enforcement agencies overlap
in many cases, skewing the city-level rates for this measure.
Other Risk Factors or Indicators to
Consider
Arrest rates
are highly correlated with the levels of drug and alcohol
consumption and abuse (particularly among juveniles), spousal and
child abuse, unemployment and poverty within a community.
While the direct relationships between these factors is not
always clear, when analyzing this indicator, examination of these
additional indicators is recommended.
Geographic measures such as population density and proximity
to major cities may also be considered.
Political
decisions also play a major role in determining this indicator. Factors such as legislation which provides for stiffer
criminal penalties, the ratio of police to population, funding for
projects aimed at reducing crime and the existence of programs
targeted at reducing alcohol and drug abuse may also affect the rate
of arrests.
Limitations of the Data
One limitation
of these data is that certain crimes are more likely to lead to
arrests than others, and an increased arrest rate may not
necessarily reflect a higher crime rate but rather an increase in
enforcement. Also, to the extent that crimes go unreported in a community,
the overall arrest rate will be artificially low.
On the other hand, while the number of arrests can be directly correlated with
the number of convictions, the two measures are not the same and
convictions are generally substantially lower.
These data
are reported by the individual law enforcement agencies within a
region. There is no
means of verification that a particular agency has reported all
arrests for a given time period, though these data are considered
highly accurate and reliable.
These data most certainly under report the
number of arrests due to reporting procedures. If
an individual is arrested on more than one charge (e.g., burglary
and theft) only the most serious crime (burglary) is captured in the
data collection system. This is a national norm that began in the 1930’s
and is considered standard practice as part of the Uniform Crime Reporting process
nationwide.
Data Sources
-
Arrest figures are from the Oregon Law
Enforcement Data System (LEDS) Oregon Uniform Crime Reporting
Program
-
County
and state population data are from the US Census Bureau
-
Population data are from Portland State University
Population Research Center
Presentation
and Description of the Data
The table below shows the total
overall arrest rates in Marion and Polk Counties, and cities within
the two counties. These are rates per 1,000 people.
|
1995 |
1996 |
1997 |
1998 |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
| Oregon |
59.0 |
53.7 |
54.2 |
52.5 |
50.3 |
50.1 |
|
| Marion
County |
53.7 |
57.1 |
57.2 |
54.7 |
46.3 |
46.6 |
45.5 |
| Polk
County |
51.1 |
51.6 |
45.3 |
41.6 |
42.1 |
44.6 |
42.9 |
| Places
in Marion County |
| Aumsville |
65.3 |
19.0 |
37.8 |
44.2 |
22.3 |
25.0 |
23.0 |
| Aurora |
10.4 |
90.6 |
70.9 |
27.4 |
15.8 |
84.0 |
69.7 |
| Gervais |
44.7 |
59.6 |
38.1 |
40.1 |
46.4 |
26.9 |
20.2 |
| Hubbard |
15.6 |
100.0 |
132.7 |
86.3 |
82.5 |
19.3 |
51.8 |
| Keizer |
32.3 |
33.1 |
28.3 |
29.2 |
28.9 |
36.1 |
28.8 |
| Mount
Angel |
123.9 |
72.2 |
79.9 |
64.2 |
34.9 |
34.0 |
39.4 |
| Rural
Marion County |
34.7 |
37.9 |
21.6 |
20.7 |
17.8 |
18.4 |
21.2 |
| Salem
(all) |
64.5 |
65.8 |
68.6 |
69.3 |
57.9 |
55.4 |
|
| Salem
(Marion County) |
69.6 |
71.6 |
74.4 |
75.8 |
63.0 |
60.4 |
59.9 |
| Silverton |
59.5 |
82.1 |
84.0 |
54.2 |
44.9 |
58.8 |
47.0 |
| Stayton |
90.5 |
110.8 |
100.3 |
86.1 |
78.5 |
73.2 |
60.2 |
| Turner |
21.0 |
18.8 |
12.3 |
5.1 |
8.0 |
13.3 |
4.5 |
| Woodburn |
78.7 |
69.4 |
83.3 |
66.7 |
50.2 |
44.7 |
46.5 |
| Places
in Polk County |
| Dallas |
60.9 |
60.0 |
47.0 |
60.0 |
56.2 |
58.1 |
69.8 |
| Falls
City |
|
|
|
123.1 |
96.8 |
91.1 |
|
| Independence |
170.0 |
143.0 |
116.8 |
84.2 |
84.3 |
89.5 |
92.7 |
| Monmouth |
41.4 |
53.1 |
54.0 |
43.3 |
41.6 |
50.4 |
61.9 |
| Rural
Polk County |
37.3 |
42.1 |
34.5 |
22.1 |
28.3 |
34.0 |
35.5 |
| Salem
(Polk County) |
29.0 |
28.4 |
28.3 |
25.0 |
22.7 |
22.0 |
|
Source: Oregon Law Enforcement Data
System (LEDS), compiled by Marion-Polk CHIP. http://www.willamette.edu/publicpolicy/chip
The chart below shows total
overall arrest rates per 1,000 people in Marion and Polk Counties
and statewide.

The chart below shows total overall arrest rates for
cities in Marion and Polk Counties for the years 1995 and 2000.

Commentary
Marion County's total overall arrest rate per 1,000
population was higher than Polk County's for each year between 1995
and 2000. In general, both counties have experienced a decline
in arrest rates in recent years. In both Marion and Polk
Counties the rate increased in 1996 and fell in 1998.
In Marion County the overall arrest rate dropped significantly in
1999 and remained low in 2000. In Polk County the arrest rate
increased slightly in 1999 and 2000. The statewide overall
arrest rate has fallen recently, to a rate of 50.1 arrests per 1,000
people in the year 2000.
From
1995 through 2000, Mt. Angel, Independence, and Rural Marion County
experienced a declining trend in their overall arrest rates.
No community in the area had arrest rates that consistently
increased during recent years.
Download the Data
Download Data in Microsoft Excel
Download Data as a
Tab Delimited Text
File (Windows users: right click on this link, save file, and
then open in your favorite spreadsheet; Mac users: click the link
and hold for a second or two, then save the file and open it in a
spreadsheet)
Overall
Juvenile Arrest Rate
Contents: Data
Tables | Data Charts |
Commentary | Download Data
New: Juvenile
Arrests Data Map (Internet Explorer Users: zoom
to full extent for best map quality)
The table below shows
the overall juvenile arrest rates per 1,000 juveniles in Oregon,
Marion and Polk Counties, and places within the two counties.
| |
1995 |
1996 |
1997 |
1998 |
1999 |
2000 |
| Oregon |
57.1 |
60.5 |
57.9 |
54.3 |
48.3 |
45.4 |
| Marion County |
57.9 |
64.8 |
61.3 |
61.7 |
49.7 |
47.2 |
| Polk County |
66.6 |
71.4 |
74.5 |
56.7 |
51.4 |
44.7 |
| Places
in Marion County |
| Aumsville |
28.4 |
19.1 |
34.1 |
39.5 |
18.3 |
22.0 |
| Aurora |
0.0 |
68.8 |
18.8 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
6.3 |
| Gervais |
10.8 |
34.0 |
19.1 |
27.0 |
26.7 |
14.5 |
| Hubbard |
6.9 |
30.6 |
51.5 |
68.6 |
45.8 |
10.5 |
| Keizer |
44.5 |
47.0 |
42.2 |
41.9 |
33.8 |
46.9 |
| Mt. Angel |
87.5 |
149.7 |
50.4 |
15.2 |
33.2 |
42.4 |
| Rural Marion County |
20.4 |
28.3 |
22.3 |
17.3 |
14.4 |
11.2 |
| Salem
(all) |
79.4 |
85.9 |
83.7 |
91.8 |
74.4 |
67.7 |
| Salem
(Marion part) |
85.2 |
92.3 |
89.4 |
101.0 |
81.5 |
73.5 |
| Silverton |
89.7 |
140.1 |
148.1 |
68.9 |
55.7 |
78.5 |
| Stayton |
125.9 |
136.6 |
155.5 |
124.3 |
113.9 |
121.6 |
| Turner |
34.2 |
22.3 |
0.0 |
3.3 |
20.5 |
10.5 |
| Woodburn |
76.9 |
64.2 |
73.6 |
44.4 |
35.1 |
35.3 |
|
Places in Polk
County |
| Dallas |
102.1 |
118.6 |
84.1 |
96.3 |
86.3 |
61.0 |
| Falls City |
|
|
|
211.1 |
136.1 |
80.3 |
| Independence |
216.8 |
205.1 |
167.2 |
120.7 |
114.8 |
104.3 |
| Monmouth |
61.7 |
69.1 |
93.9 |
47.6 |
85.9 |
122.6 |
| Rural Polk County |
44.3 |
44.0 |
45.4 |
25.5 |
20.9 |
19.3 |
| Salem
(Polk part) |
38.6 |
40.8 |
42.2 |
26.8 |
23.9 |
26.7 |
Source: Oregon Law Enforcement Data
System (LEDS), compiled by Marion-Polk CHIP. http://www.willamette.edu/publicpolicy/chip
The chart below shows the
juvenile overall arrest rate per 1,000 juveniles. It gives the
total rate in Oregon and Marion and Polk Counties for the years
1995-2000.

The chart below shows the
juvenile overall arrest rate for each city in Marion and Polk
Counties, as well as the rate for unincorporated parts of the two
counties as reported by the county sheriff's offices. The
rates shown are the 1995 and 2000 juvenile overall arrest
rates.

Commentary
The overall juvenile arrest rate in both
Marion and Polk Counties has been higher than the statewide rate
during each year reported here.
Between 1995-1997, the
juvenile overall arrest rate in Polk County was higher than that of
Marion County. The highest rate Polk County experienced was
74.5 arrests per 1,000 juveniles, or a 7.45% arrest rate, which
occurred in 1997. Polk County's rate then dipped below Marion
County's rate in 1998, and for the past two years the rates have
been relatively similar.
In the majority of cities in
Marion and Polk Counties, the juvenile overall arrest rate was lower
in 2000 than in 1995.
Download the Data
Download Data in Microsoft Excel
Download Data as a
Tab Delimited Text
File (Windows users: right click on this link, save file, and
then open in your favorite spreadsheet; Mac users: click the link
and hold for a second or two, then save the file and open it in a
spreadsheet)
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