Title: The Effects of Low Snow Pack on Streamflow in Western Washington and Implications for the Future

Author: Remy Belval

Abstract: In Washington State, approximately 70% of all annual streamflow comes from melting snow pack during the summer. While Western Washingtons infamously high winter rainfall allows for a generous water supply during these months, it relies on this snowmelt for much of its water during the dry summers. In the past decade, however, a number of low snowfall years have hit the Cascades in Washington, having a negative impact on streamflow in Washington rivers. Using snow pack (SNOTEL) and streamflow (USGS) data, this paper demonstrates this correlation between the two and analyzes the impacts global warming has had and will continue to have on reducing the winter snow pack. These potential effects of climate change have serious implications for the future water supply and electric generation in Western Washington, considering that 72% of the states electricity comes from hydroelectric generation. This paper looks at how these would be affected, assuming that little is done to prevent climate change in the long run, and looks at what Washington can do and has done in order to prevent serious repercussions against both Washingtons economy and the wellbeing of its citizens.

Key References:

Mote, P, Salathe, E, & Hamlet, A, 2008. Has spring snow pack declined in the Washington Cascades? Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 12, Retrieved March 27, 2009, from http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/12/193/2008

 

Stewart, I. T., Cayan, D. R., Dettinger, M. D.: 2002. Changes in Snowmelt Runoff Timing in Western North America Under a Business as Usual Climate Change Scenario. Clim. Change 62, 217-232.

 

Washington Economic Steering Committee and the Climate Leadership Initiative Institute for a Sustainable Environment University of Oregon, (2007). Impacts of climate change on Washington's Economy - A preliminary assessment of risks and opportunities. Department of Ecology, 07-01-010, Retrieved April 1, 2009, from http://www.ecy.wa.gov/biblio/0701010.html

 

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Date: May 2009
Student: rbelval@willamette.edu
ENVR 327: Water Resources
Instructor: Dr. Karen Arabas
http://www.willamette.edu/~karabas/courses/envr327w